November outlook - what can you expect?

Welcome to November! These last two months of the year seem to go fast with the holidays upon us.

Here are the November normal stats:

First half of November:

I don't see any signs of big storms coming into the Plains for the first part of this month. There will be a significant number of cold fronts & big temperature swings are likely, but at this time, no sign of any storms that we need to be concerned about. The jet stream (or sometimes referred to as "the pattern") is going to be split into two parts, which keeps most of the really cold weather locked north.

Early next week: We could have a system coming through the Plains in about a week, but if the jet stream remains split, this would decrease the chance of snow. A few showers may come through the Plains around Tuesday or Wednesday next week.

The 2nd weekend of November: Still no sign of any major systems that would be coming through the Plains, but we will have to watch the Gulf of Alaska as a storm begins to develop. That could change the weather pattern moving into the middle of the month.

Third week of November - looks a bit chillier

The pattern begins shifting (according to longer range models) that could bring some colder weather as we move through the middle of the month. This colder weather could take us right up to Thanksgiving.

Heading toward Thanksgiving - colder

What information is available to us now shows a potential colder outbreak around the Thanksgiving holiday. Models don't indicate a big storm or heavy rain or snow, but the possibility we could have a big surge of colder air coming south.

Summary: I think November will have many big temperature swings and we will get some moisture, but the chances of a very wet (or white) month seem low right now. Expect some of the coldest weather of the month to arrive toward the 2nd half of the month.