After the kind of January and February that we've been through, I can only guess that the majority of you reading this are done with cold and snow. However, any long time Kansan knows that getting through March with no snow is nearly impossible, but it has happened before.
See the stats below on the last snowless March:
Average snowfall in March:
- Goodland: 4.8"
- Dodge City: 3.7"
- Wichita: 2.1"
Otherwise, rainfall averages start going back up in March but still come up well shy of what they will be in just a few months.
March expectations:
I see the month ahead as near or slightly warmer than average overall. Any dip in temperature is not going to be long at all (likely less than 5 days where highs may fall below average). And of course, in March, any cold snap won't be like what we had the two previous months. If we go just off the Arctic Oscillation, we could say March is likely free of any bitter cold air. As long as it remains "positive", our chances of extended cold remain very low. If it goes "negative", we might be more concerned for a cold snap ahead. It doesn't do that until the very end of the month.
Rainfall - since the weather pattern should remain fairly active through March, there's an opportunity where we could have "average" moisture between the beginning and end of the month. Looking out over the next several weeks, the West coast should continue to be hit with one system after another and I think several of those could reach us in the central US.
So, more snow in March? I think we will see at least some in Kansas but doubt it will be significant (more than 5/6") on a huge scale. Most of this may be coming in the first few weeks of the new month.
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