Another winter forecast released

First frost of the season courtesy @gracy69epixnet

On Thursday, we heard from the Climate Prediction Center on their outlook for the winter months. No real surprises in what they are thinking considering the strong El Nino phenomenon that has setup in the Pacific. We are still looking at other information and trying to pin down a more precise forecast for Kansas, and we will release it in November. The pattern up to now has been warm and dry, but within the next few weeks, it will be turning more active with increasing chances for moisture.

Precipitation:
A wetter than normal winter across the southern tier of the US with a more active southern branch of the jet stream.

Temperatures:
Cooler than normal across the south (where more moisture is expected to fall), while the northern tier of the US is expected to be warmer than normal. Kansas falls into the "equal chances" of above or below normal temperatures.

There are a bunch of winter forecasts out there on the internet, so be sure to check the source before putting much value in what you are seeing/reading.  Have a great weekend.