Holiday weekend - long range into July

We made it to Friday and I hope everyone has a safe holiday weekend. Hope you get a little downtime and a chance to enjoy some fireworks. It would be a big deal if we had a forecast of dry weather all the way through the weekend, but ... that's not probably going to happen.

Here's what we think will happen:
Today (Friday):
A sprinkle possible here or there - most storms are going to be in northern Oklahoma. The weather doesn't look threatening in Kansas. Enjoy some 80 degree weather!

Saturday:
Looking good! Humidity will be down, the winds will be down, and temperatures will likely end up in the mid and upper 80s.

Into Sunday: 
Chances for storms will be coming back into the area (mainly evening and nighttime). I don't think they will be all that widespread, but it could put a damper on some lake and camping activities. A few storms could produce hail and wind.

Monday:
Once again, scattered storms are possible, especially over central and eastern Kansas. There will be some hail and wind risks.

4th of July: This is the big day and if all goes as planned, we are going to see the storm chance push east of Kansas. The latest setup would suggest storms east of the Flint Hills, but I will caution you, it's a close call.

July Forecast:

Big weather pattern change is expected Wednesday, July 5th. The faucet will get turned off as a large high pressure system takes over in the Plains and Rockies. I think the first half of July could be dry for most of the area. I don't think we are looking at a major heat wave, but it's July and it will still be rather warm. 

There may not be much of a pattern change until mid to late July when the high pressure system sets up farther west, allowing for some cooler weather and rain chances to return. I've seen some longer range models showing a cooler second half to July... but lets watch and see if that trend continues on future data sets.