Thanks for spending a few minutes reading the blog. I enjoy sharing my thoughts with you as to what I'm seeing in the latest model trends. It's almost like drinking from a fire hose as we get bombarded with new information all the time. And I'm sure you've seen some WILD predictions as to what kind of weather we will have around here on Christmas. That source has been very wrong many, many times. Before you begin to plan your holiday, let's look at the setup.
Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday: Expect it to be somewhat nice and mild for the beginning of the week.
Late week shift: The system to watch is coming from the Pacific Northwest and it's going to latch on to some very cold air, which will arrive in Kansas in the Thursday/Friday time frame. This will be the coldest air yet this season.
How far south will the storm go? That's what meteorologists up and down the Plains states will be trying to figure out, but it does appear as if the Christmas storm is going to stay south. So given this kind of setup, we are not likely to see snow on the ground in Kansas for Christmas day. We definite a white Christmas as having at least 1" of snow.
And it's not just one model showing this particular setup, but several of them have been showing a better chance for snow in the Oklahoma and Texas (compared to what Kansas would see). It's just been a strange fall/early winter and it may continue for awhile longer.
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