A few close calls on rain

Most of Kansas continues to struggle with the dry weather and lack of significant storms to move through the Plains. Here's a look at some numbers I shared last night on the air, and you have to admit, this is crazy. For one particular place to go over 140 days without .25" is very unusual. And south central Kansas is still waiting on the first 1" of snow.

We have some close calls coming up later this week. After crazy warmth Wednesday, a strong cold front is going to move through Thursday. Just look where the rain starts to develop. It's going to barely miss us to the southeast.

And then this weekend, on the warm side of a front, another batch of rain showers will slide southeast of us. 

We do see a rather large buckle in the jet stream early next week and a setup like we haven't seen all winter. But will we get missed again? It's going to come down to where the front sets up. Right now, there is decent enough confidence to introduce some chance for rain/wintry mix early next week. 

The long range outlook still has plenty of cold weather yet to come. Most of March should have colder than normal weather. For those hoping to get a snow storm yet, there's still a chance. But it feels as if it will take an act of Congress to get it to happen in southern Kansas. 

I would also expect our chances of seeing an early severe weather season to be extremely low. When cold dominates like it probably will in March, chances of severe storms should be on hold.