Chance for strong storms in February... really?

Severe storms in February? Yes, it can happen and early next week, there's a setup that will favor some strong storms nearby. But if you've been reading the blog periodically throughout the winter, you know I keep talking about the fact we are not in the right spot. And again early next week, our area has a close call with some soaking rains (and hail/wind storms), but will it all go east of us.

There's going to be a HUGE storm system developing across the western US. This kind of setup will produce big, soaking rains. But it's all going to come down to how far east the front pushes.

The area with the best chance of strong storms is in the yellow shaded area:

And look at how much rain could fall at the beginning of the week. It's not a mistake... areas across the Ozarks are going to get 2-4" of rain. That's just about what most of us in Kansas would need to break the back of this ongoing drought. 

It's beginning to feel like Mother Nature has something against us. We will continue to watch and see if the setup changes, but for now, most of the computer models are showing the rain going east. Ugh.