Thursday, June 6, 2019

A wild change in the pattern soon

We are about to kick this early summer heat to the curb heading into the weekend. I've seen several people already saying how we've skipped over spring and gone right to summer. I'm not sure I agree with that, given the cool weather we've had with ALL of the rain last month. In fact, high temperatures at the beginning of May were only in the 60s, which is cooler than normal.

June has started out pretty warm, but we are about to see a radical change in our weather. A cold front will arrive Saturday night into Sunday and it's going to sweep most of this humidity out of our area. Computer models continue to show the central and northern Plains going WELL below normal into the middle of the month. This will likely mean highs in the 70s with lows in the 50s. That can be very hard to come by in June.


Shifting to drier weather (week of June 10) - of course if we get rid of the humidity, our chances of getting hit with more heavy rains will drop dramatically. And that's what I would expect for next week as a complete change in the pattern takes over. Instead of the upper level winds coming from the southwest, they will come from the northwest which will help us dry out a bit more.

If you look at the rainfall forecast, you'll still see Kansas may have a shot at some showers Tuesday night, but my expectation is that they will be scattered and not as heavy as some of the rain events lately. 

We will need to watch the end of next week for things to switch around and start turning active once again. As I said last week, my forecast for June was for much of the Plains to pick up about half of the rainfall we had in May, and we could very well start to see our rain chances increasing once again in about 8-10 days. How much rain isn't known this far out, but

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