September outlook - rainfall totals

September and October can be very interesting months as we begin to see the atmosphere going into wild transitions. Our normal high temperatures at the beginning of the month are upper 80s, but drop rather significantly by the end of the month to the 70s.

Early September:

Temperatures are going to start hot as a high pressure system moves right over Kansas, but then weakens quickly. A cold front may slip through here on Tuesday and help to bring temperatures back down, but most areas will have near to above normal temperatures in the first week. We don't expect very much rain in our first week of September. Biggest rains will happen east of our area (and northeast too)

Mid September:

My expectation is that we will have a great deal of back and forth in temperatures. A couple of warm days followed by strong cold fronts. There are no big heat waves that I'm looking at, but we will have more 80s coming to the area. And rainfall doesn't look overly heavy on a large scale, but we should have some decent chances through mid September.

Late September:

If the longer range models are correct, some much cooler weather may show up during the second half of September. The overall weather pattern is hinting at a big trough of low pressure in the central and eastern US, which would allow for cooler than normal weather to slip south from Canada. So we may have some really nice weather late in September. 

Rainfall (from Thursday night/Friday morning)
Hill City: 1.87"
Winfield: 1.72"
Salina: 1.12"
Clay Center: 1.05"
Wichita (Eisenhower): 0.86"
Hutch: 0.81"
Minneapolis: 0.73"
Concordia: 0.63"
Russell: 0.53"
KWCH Studio: 0.40"
Hays: 0.37"
Medicine Lodge: 0.36"
Garden City: 0.13"