Next rain chance & how much

We've just had some incredible weather this week for early March. Less wind, warmer temperatures, sunshine - I think that's what most of you were requesting, right?

Next rain chance - It should be coming in Sunday. We've seen some timing differences among the models but it still looks like Sunday late afternoon - Monday morning will be the main time slot for moisture.

We are confident in our prediction of rain because look at the stream of Gulf of Mexico moisture moving northward. All of the wind that we see this coming weekend will carry the higher humidity north. That's what will run into the front Sunday evening to set us up for rain.

Timing: I wouldn't be surprised to see some showers skirt across central and eastern Kansas mid-afternoon Sunday. They would be rather light and scattered (but this is the richer humidity surging north).

Best chances come Sunday night (after sunset) - the front should be on the move and triggering more rain as it moves along. Areas north of I-70 will have a solid chance of showers, while farther south, areas of rain develop Monday morning.

How much? This isn't going to come close to some of the recent events we've had (referring to the big 2-3 inch rain we had late in February), but we will see some .25-.50" amounts. Most of the rain will be well east of us by early Monday afternoon. Highest totals will be in northern Kansas, and east of I-135. Western Kansas will end up on the short end of the deal, and southwest Kansas may not see much at all.

I'm still expecting the second half of March to be active - so if you get missed by the upcoming rain, don't worry.