The advertised change is coming - cooler weather AND rain

I'm getting multiple requests for rain these days as the moisture from July has suddenly evaporated into the August heat. Last week we hinted that a change would be coming down the road and our confidence is growing that a MUCH cooler pattern is about to evolve. 

Tropical track - Laura moves north:

The water temperatures are between 85-90° and I wouldn't be one bit surprised if Laura goes to Category 3 (considered "major" status) with winds of 111 mph. 

Laura later in the week goes through Arkansas and then curves to the northeast. Unless there is some incredible shift in the track (westward), we won't likely get any of that soaking moisture.

First cold front coming Friday night-early Saturday:

This front isn't strong at all, but should help to set off some storms:

* these will start over northern Kansas and then develop to the south

* storms will probably remain scattered without BIG rains (likely less than an inch for the areas that even get rain)

*front is weak, so a big drop in temperatures doesn't appear that likely for the weekend

Second front arrives early next week:

* this front comes in Monday, starting a big drop in the temperatures by Monday evening

* storms chances increase significantly, especially for areas of central and eastern Kansas

* Highs falling into the 70s look likely by Tuesday  - other days next week should be 80s

* humidity gets knocked WAY down - it will feel every bit like a fall afternoon 

* rainfall could be around .50-1" in several spots (perhaps more), but I don't want to get hopes up too much. 

 Is this something that will hang around:

It does look as if this pattern will continue through the first 10 days of September, so I would look for highs to be in the 80s with lows in the 50s/60s. Should feel pretty nice around here - now let's hope we get some rain. Stay tuned.