We are busy working on our winter weather forecast and the 30 minute special that will air next Saturday (November 21st). Our winter forecast will also be detailed here on the blog too as soon as we finalize it.
The focus for next week is on a HUGE warming pattern that will setup across the Plains and deliver not just warmth, but potential record warmth. Lately, the warmth has overpowered just about everything else in our forecast (except for the wind of course). There may be several days where it doesn't feel like mid-November.
Here's what the setup looks like:
Record highs are not a slam dunk at this point, but we should have a chance by Wednesday/Thursday and maybe even Friday. A slight shift in the wind could keep us out of record territory, but for now, there's a strong chance we might make history.
Are things about to change?
Sometimes the first signs of bigger changes begin to show in the Arctic Oscillation. When it goes negative, there's a strong tendency to get some much colder air dropping south out of Canada. You can see where things are headed around Thanksgiving. At this time, I'm thinking we will be turning "cooler" during the holiday week, but not bitterly cold. We may end up with highs in the 50s on Thanksgiving Day. 
Early Thanksgiving thoughts:
Beyond that, we may be slipping into colder weather heading into early December. Let's see if future model runs continue to show this negative trend in the AO.
Have a great weekend.
No comments:
Post a Comment