Tuesday, June 15, 2021

Things will be getting interesting soon

A heat wave is already underway across a portion of the country and while there isn't much excitement happening around Kansas (with respect to weather), it is good news for wheat harvest. 

Summer begins Saturday at 10:32 - when there will be 14 hours and 46 minutes from sunrise to sunset. The nights sure are short this time of year. The sun is directly overhead at the Tropic of Cancer and of course as you approach the North Pole, there is no darkness. 

Record watch midweek:

The heat is expanding throughout the central and northern Plains, and it has been hot west of the Rockies. Phoenix is likely to top 115 through the rest of this week (and that's even extreme for Arizona). 

Western Kansas will near record highs in a few spots Wednesday and Thursday before a front starts to change things around (that comes Friday).

Places like Colby, Goodland, and Tribune may make history with the heat as temperatures are forecast to go above 100°. It will also be close in southwest Kansas too. Record highs farther east for Wichita and Salina aren't as likely to be broken.

We are confident in the heat breaking down by the end of the week and long range models have consistently showed late June dropping below normal. That doesn't mean there won't be a hot day mixed in from time to time, but I expect our first, full week of summer to be cooler than what we have been having as of late. 

The upper level winds (jet stream) should make a push back south and cool the northern half of the country down. Record heat has been a problem for the northern Rockies and areas of the country that don't normally stay hot for long periods of time. The hottest weather next week is likely pushed back farther west and we will enjoy some great weather heading right into the 4th of July. 

There's a strong potential of more rain opportunities ahead as we close out June and continue into July. The map shown below says "150-200% of normal moisture" which could easily be a 2 inch (or more) rain event for some of the Plains states. June is (on average) one of the wettest months of the year.

 

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