Nearing the end of our first week in November and it has been colder than normal for most of the Plains. However, a good portion of the state has NOT had a killing freeze yet.
Changes this weekend with the highly advertised warm up (jet stream goes back north) will send us back into the 70s. I think we will even have some 80s in southwest Kansas Sunday afternoon if you can believe that. Record highs? Maybe close in some spots, but not likely in very many places.
Expect a cold front to arrive Monday:
This isn't anything dramatic, but our temperatures go back down to 50s and 60s - closer to the average in November.
The West gets active once again - Another rain/snow making storm will come into the coast Monday/Tuesday that should produce some widespread moisture from California to Washington. Models are indicating 1-3" on the coastline and heavy, wet snows will occur in the Sierras and Cascades.
Getting out of drought will take some significant time. After all the heavy rain in late October, some areas more than 10 inches above average (map shown below), there's still dire need for more rain.
There's still widespread exceptional drought in California and Nevada, with extreme to exceptional drought ongoing in Oregon and Washington.
Storm for Kansas:
Looking like an arrival of Wednesday for the Plains states. This is most likely going to be a rain event with some snow passing us by to the north. It's early to speculate on amounts because it will depend on how fast the system comes through.
Once the system departs, we will open up to colder air filtering in for the end of the week and our second weekend of November. November from the start has look colder than average, and that still looks like it's going to hold up moving forward. There is also a GOOD chance to have a hard freeze heading into next weekend.
Have a wonderful weekend. Don't forget to FALL back.
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