The low pressure system tracking into the area will not be one with big snows for our immediate area. We say that with high confidence because of the way this storm approaches Kansas. Our latest forecast looks like this:
Systems that approach Kansas from the northwest are usually limited on moisture. They tend to lack good, rich Gulf of Mexico humidity and therefore, precipitation amounts are generally lower.
Winter storms that are more significant tend to come through the 4 Corners region, with a tendency to ingest higher humidity. Track is always key, but there is a stark difference between the current system and a more robust winter storm that comes in from the southwest.
That being said, there will still be some light snow into Saturday. Biggest travel concerns will be in northeast Kansas where some 2-4 inch amounts look likely. That will probably lead to snow packed roads for a time Saturday, but by evening, conditions will likely improve even for those areas.
Very strong winds likely: We are also up against wind gusts of 40-55 mph from Friday afternoon through daybreak Saturday. Blowing dust and high fire danger are also a concern for western Kansas.
A snapshot of wind gusts around 7pm:
And another after midnight:
Heads up for more cold weather middle of next week:
Another potent cold front should drop through the area Tuesday night/early Wednesday. We are working to figure out just how cold it's going to be and for how long, but the coldest day of the week is likely Thursday when highs will be in the teens and 20s. I don't think this is something that will continue for a long period of time, but it's going to be bitterly cold with some flurries possible Wednesday and Thursday.
We will likely have a dry setup for the second half of January. The long range pattern would suggest not much rain or snow for the next couple of weeks. If we do get some moisture, it will be very light. Stay safe and have a great weekend.
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