Hurricane season is nearly a month old now and we've already had three named systems. Cindy is still out in the Atlantic with no threat to any major land areas. If the system does hold together and threaten any area, it definitely shouldn't be the United States.
The Atlantic looks quiet next week (week of June 26-July 3), even though there does appear to be more activity coming off the African continent, conditions don't look favorable for development. Water temperatures, shown below, are incredibly warm (in many areas about 1°C above average). You may recall that warm water is one of the key ingredients in tropical formation, but
Here's a preview of Thursday, Friday, and Saturday (June 29, 30, and July 1):
Even though some thunderstorms may form at different locations in the Atlantic or Carribean, they shouldn't turn into full-blown tropical storms.
Monsoon Update:
Monsoon refers to the "seasonal shift" in the winds. It typically gets underway in late June and holds on through July and even into August. This is the time of year the Southwest gets their best rainfall and it's extremely important for agriculture in that part of the country.
Looking ahead, monsoon moisture is not there yet. The high pressure that sets up in Mexico is more likely to be over Texas (once again), and so the better chances of heavier rainfall will likely be from northern Kansas up into the northern Plains.
Thanks for checking in.
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