Storms on the way - Flooding concerns

Hopefully you are ready for more active weather because we are about to enter a LONG stretch of it as we move through the weekend and much of next week. This is definitely fitting for this time of the year as the jet stream is strong, temperatures are warmer, and the Gulf of Mexico moisture seems to have an endless supply for the Plains.

Friday:

I don't think we will see very many storms, but the few that do pop up have a good chance of being severe for a few hours. One of the things that will limit the storms will be some warmer air roughly 9-10,000 feet. Storms, if they can get going, will move quickly to the northeast (maybe 45-50 mph or more). Large hail and wind will be the biggest threats.

Saturday:

Still some unknowns here but I definitely think there will be some strong/severe storms developing after 3 or 4 p.m. These will move east/northeast and produce hail, wind, AND torrential rains. So please be mindful of flooding. We've had a chance to dry things out the past week, but it won't take very much rain to soak things up again. 

Early Next Week:
Here is a comparison on potential rainfall between the two models we look at closely:

There are two things that are concerning here: the steady supply of Gulf moisture AND a slow moving front. This is a bad combination for Kansas because it will lead to heavy rains. I am concerned with how much the computer models are showing for this area. We spend a great deal of time talking about the hail, wind, and chances for tornadoes, BUT flooding will likely impact more people than the hail and wind. So we definitely can't downplay this risk.