Seasons are definitely flipping - changes more dramatic

Good morning and thanks for spending a few minutes checking into the details of our very changeable weather for the rest of this week. Cold fronts ARE in fact getting stronger now and there will be some more significant ups and downs for the rest of the week.

First cold front - today (Tuesday):

The front will ignite some storms for central and south central Kansas into the evening and overnight. Severe chances are low, but certainly NOT zero. Some small hail and wind gusts to 50 or 60 look possible as storms move southeast into the evening.

Wednesday AND Thursday temperatures cool, but nothing unusual:
Still looks like most of the area will probably have temperatures in the mid to upper 70s (and a few low 80s too) - but this is more typical of late September weather.

Thursday storms:

Let's watch and see how this setup comes together, but my expectations are the storms will happen very late Wednesday night and early Thursday, then we should begin to see things slowly dry up as we go into the afternoon.

Second cold front - Friday evening-early Saturday:
This one will be stronger and changes will be MORE significant for much of the region. There could be a 30-35° from warm to cool, so it's going to be a wild end to the week. Rainfall won't be extremely high for most of the area. Just look at what the models are suggesting between now and Sunday. Rains are spotty and not likely to be big soakers.

Snow and/or frost coming soon?

Okay, one of these is more likely than the other. And if you picked frost, well you are right. I think it's very possible for northwest Kansas to see some frost at some point next week (week of Sep. 30) - the exact day isn't clear yet, but we sure see some much chillier weather pushing south. Snowfall is LIKELY for the northern Rockies and into the northern Cascades. The jet stream is getting MUCH stronger in the next 10-12 days, which is very normal going into October. It's why I love this time of year so much because the changes are incredible from warm to cold. I don't think we are totally done with summer-like weather yet, but fall is starting to show strength and potential of overcoming what has been a REALLY warm September.