Tuesday, July 13, 2021

Storms on the horizon + more July "cool"

Nearing the halfway point of July and it has been remarkable to see how comfortable the temperatures have been in the Plains. It's too early to know if this will finish as a top 10 coolest July (most likely not), but when you have days in the 80s with low humidity, it's hard to beat. 

Dodge City July highs:

There have been 4 days with highs at or above average, including (1) 100° day. 

Wichita July highs:

Just one day... that is all... with a high temperature above normal. Part of that is due to the higher rainfall amounts at the end of June, helping to slow the warm up a bit. Western Kansas has been much drier as of late.

Setup for rain Thursday/weekend:

A front should stall over Kansas Thursday, bringing chances for storms and potential for locally heavy amounts of rain (central/southern Kansas). What tends to happen in summer is that upper level winds are weaker, so storms are slow to move. Severe chances aren't zero, but it's a lower of hail and wind.

Weekend: This setup looks like a nighttime round of storms forming on the High Plains of Colorado and Nebraska, then drifting on to the southeast and impacting a good portion of Kansas. My expectation is that Saturday night is the highest chance, with some leftovers still hanging around into Sunday morning. 

How much rain? Tough to say with high certainty this time of year because of the hit and miss nature of storms. However, I'm posting the image below just to show that everyone in Kansas at least has a chance of getting something, although it probably won't be satisfying for everyone. I know the fall crops need a drink, so cross your fingers for the coming days. 


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