The waiting game continues and it is quite frustrating when we keep getting teased by these little showers that produce less than .25". Kansas (among many other areas) continue to be in the wrong spot for rain at this time and although chances are in the forecast, there's nothing out there that looks to break the ongoing dry spell. The chances are much better for cooler weather heading into mid-August, but rain continues to be elusive.
Saturday:
Chances will begin late afternoon and continue into the evening/overnight. Given that we don't have a strong front coming through, there isn't much focus for storms to fire off of. Whatever develops will continue to move east-northeast, and rainfall totals will probably come in under .50" (and even less the farther west you go). A few storms may kick out some gusty winds - and help to cool down the late afternoon temperatures.
Monday:
A cold front will try to push into northern Kansas during the evening. However, as it does so, it will be fading, so the heat isn't going to budge. There should be some storms developing north of I-70 near the weak front, and some of the rain will drift south before falling apart. I'm just not overly impressed with our potential of rain - so keep your expectations low.
Wednesday:
This front may have the best chance of coming through Kansas. It's a setup that may increase the storm potential for a good part of the Plains, but there are some ingredients missing to give us hope of a soaking event. You'll continue to see us advertise a mid-week storm chance and that's what we are banking on, but if I had to forecast rain amounts for this particular timeframe, it wouldn't be much more than some .50" totals.
Here's a summary of the rainfall forecast (through Sunday, August 15): Nice to see something on it, but we will need a bunch more.
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