Wednesday, April 6, 2022

Next signs of severe weather potential

A rather strong low pressure system is setup near the Great Lakes for the remainder of this week, which will keep the wind machine cranked up until Friday. This isn't out of the ordinary for springtime in the Plains. The low pressure systems are quite strong this time of year (part of the transition from winter to summer), and when you end up near one, you can bet the wind will be a factor. There's plenty more still to come. 

As unfortunate as this kind of setup is with respect to wind and the nuisance that comes with it, it does keep the threat of hail and tornadoes at bay. Just look at dew point temperatures for Wednesday/Thursday across the Plains. These numbers are a measure of how much moisture is in the air, and when they are this low, you just don't get the rain most are seeking. 


The pattern resets for next week:
Our second full week of April will be quite different as a new low pressure system develops west of the Rockies. Several things will happen starting over the weekend:

  • South winds come back
  • Temperatures will heat up
  • Humidity returns
  • Storm chances will ramp up - most notably on Tuesday

At this point in time, safe to expect that the central Plains will have a risk of severe storms either Tuesday or Wednesday. The green colors on the map represent the highest humidity, which should be plentiful enough to set the stage for hail and wind potential. A large low pressure system coming out of the west will also help to increase the rain chances for much of the area next week too. Stay tuned for more updates on this setup as we get closer.

Kansas has its 1st tornado in 2022:

It happened on March 29th just before 8pm. Rated an EF1, a damage assessment team from Topeka NWS indicated that an EF1 tornado occurred 4 miles east of Valley Falls in Jefferson county. If you are not familiar, that is north of Lawrence. It lasted for about 10 minutes and had a damage path of just over 9 miles. We typically see about 60-80 tornadoes a year and it is very normal to have the first one recorded by the 1st part of April. 

Have a great day.

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