Tuesday, April 12, 2022

Are we done with the freezes? Some rain on the horizon

Several questions lately about whether or not we've had our last spring freeze - and the short answer to that is no. There's a strong likelihood that two more blast of cool air (that could lead to frost/freeze) will be coming through the central Plains. 

The first one hits during the middle of this week:

Another blast of cool air should arrives for Easter (and the few days after):


It will be risky planting anything that's susceptible to cold weather right now as the pattern continues to favor these wild swings in temperatures. Here's a map to show when we normally have our last spring freeze, and you'll be able to see that what is happening isn't really out of the ordinary in most years. 

As the days pass and no rain falls in central and western Kansas, I know some of you are getting anxious about what this means for the wheat crop/grass/drought. Unfortunately, we still aren't seeing a way out of this drier than normal pattern that's dominating the Plains states. La NiƱa continues and it hasn't weakened enough (out in the Pacific) to change the trajectory of our rainfall predictions into summer. More dry weather is likely to prevail. HOWEVER, we could still get enough rain to help us get by. And I think that is the ongoing theme as we move closer to summer. 

Here's what some of the models show for rainfall as we move later into April:
7 Day Forecast (April 16-23):

7 Day Forecast (April 23-39):

There is a chance we could see some rain coming through on Easter Sunday - while not necessarily looking like a big storm system, it could bring some showers through the area. Early signs point toward less than .25" - hardly enough to make any kind of dent in the drought, but we'll take anything we can get.

Have a great day.

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