Storms roll through Friday evening - there's been a slower trend in the computer models and that is GREAT news for Kansas. It boosts the chances of rain (first of all), and also allows for a bit more humidity to sneak into the area before the front plows on through. A slower trend is a good thing for us. Initial storms will begin in central Kansas around 5-7pm and track northeast.
Later in the evening (around 8-10pm), we will see more activity farther south right along the front. This setup looks more like some heavy rain and stronger wind - whatever hail we get should get much smaller after 9 or 10pm and we switch to more of a wind potential.
As for western Kansas, some showers later tonight, but your amounts of rain will likely be under .25"
We've been doing a lot of digging to try to find the last time it wanted to rain in Kansas. It feels so out of place at the moment. Even the slightest bit of moisture gets us all amped up. Here's what we found with respect to the "last one inch of rain in a 24 hour time frame" ... it's even longer than I remembered.
And then we were asked, "when was the last time we had no drought in western Kansas or the entire state". What we found is that drought has been ongoing in some part of Kansas now for almost 4 years. Western Kansas had complete removal of drought back in July of 2021. See the maps below.
Still on our quest for finding a changing pattern that will result in more frequent rainfall. The setup for the 3rd full week of April isn't particularly helpful. There is another low pressure system that will setup across the central and northern Rockies. In any other yet (except for this one apparently), we would be having all kinds of rain/storm chances. However, next week, we are dealing with warm air aloft that will keep storms at bay, and then the front ends up in the wrong spot and we won't likely get much moisture at all. I'm just not that excited about any particular rain chance.
Northwest Kansas may see some showers Thursday night (and even some snowflakes too), but we are looking for rain that does more than wet the sidewalks and the topsoil. It's not there for the 3rd full week of the month.
I'm looking for the weather to get more active again toward the end of the month. More storms coming from the West coast should be in the making. I know we are running out of time for the wheat crop - it's needs water fast. Here are the percent chances of .50" between now and the end of April. Depending on where you are, this could be good news.
Temperatures are expected to be warmer than average as we near the end of the month.
Thanks for coming by for a few minutes. Have a great day.
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