Winter storms are lined up and ready to go

Winter storm #1:

Just diving into the active weather that is headed to the Plains. The first system isn't a huge concern because it is basically a snow event that will come straight down and provide some welcome moisture to the winter wheat crop. When all is said and done for Kansas, this is the water equivalent to the snow that's predicted for Kansas. 

Winter storm #2:

Following quick on its heels will be a more significant winter storm. We expect this to be an energetic storm with ample Gulf of Mexico moisture to interact with, setting the region up for more snow Monday/Tuesday. What does it mean for a storm to be "energetic"? If you look at the winds at upper levels (generally 18,000 feet or higher), you'll notice that area of pink or red immediately behind the "L". That strong wind will help to intensify the system into a very deep area of low pressure. This translates to strong winds near the ground at the height of the storm (expected to be Monday night/early Tuesday)

Track of the storm is key too (we mention this a bunch on TV). In order for Kansas to end up in the "heavier" snow, the system needs to cross central or southern Oklahoma. This one coming up will most likely ride the Red River Valley, putting the area in a favorable spot for higher snow amounts. 

Given what we know now, the leading edge of the winter storm should begin Monday morning as a rain & snow combo. However, as the day continues on, the rain snow line should push east and I think by mid-afternoon Monday, most if not all of it coming down will be snow. The actual changeover time (in addition to everything else) can also help determine how much snow. The low pressure system will move FAST, likely clearing the area in about 24 hours' time. The graphic below shows where the snow accumulations will likely go.

Arctic air on the move! - This will be headed to Kansas as we approach the second weekend of 2024. 

I think once we get into the last 10-12 days of the month, we will be on the other side of the coldest air of January. This period of bitter cold may be with us for a good week to 10 days.

January 13-20:

January 20-27:

A glance at February:

Looks like the active weather will continue next month with more moisture coming up for the Plains. Models suggest above normal moisture (remembering that average in February is around .50-1")

Have a great day