I was thinking last night that this was our first week this spring without a red flag warning or wind advisory for any area of the state. It's been wonderful, but I'll admit, with so much humidity around, a little breeze might be nice to help stir up the air. The winds have been so light that (guys like me) can break a sweat just being in the humidity for about 10 minutes. I hope this humidity leads to more rain and it should, especially at the end of the weekend.
Good news is that if we get a few storms today (Friday), the likelihood of severe weather is very low (almost nil) but the storms that do develop could produce some very brief downpours. Because the wind in the atmosphere is so weak, they will be slow moving storms.
I do think we will have a few storms in western Kansas late Friday night and Saturday morning. That activity is also not expected to be severe and you can see where the outlook for severe storms will be Saturday afternoon (mainly Colorado up into Wyoming)
So for now, our main focus will be on Sunday for severe storms to return to our area. Confidence is definitely high that storms will develop in western Nebraska and northwest Kansas after 5 or 6 in the evening. Another area to watch will be west of Dodge City Sunday evening too. The storms will be capable of large hail and damaging winds, and as the night goes on, most of the storms will converge into a big complex that rolls southeast. The severe weather mode should transition to a wind threat heading into Sunday night, and the storms could (and should) dump some heavy rains on much of the state.
That won't be the last of the rain. More chances coming up next week to hopefully ease more of the drought.
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