Sergio Watch!
All week we've been telling you about how close we'll get to seeing a tropical system come through the Plains. Well, that's still going to happen, but over the last 3 days, the computer models have kept the storm tracking a bit farther south. That means, heaviest rains will pass through Oklahoma. It's a close call & very important that it stays south because there will be 2-3 inches of rain with the leftover tropical system. That would be a big problem for Kansas.
Snow is Coming!
We've also been telling you about a chance for snow that shows up in the forecast for Sunday. It's going to be very, very chilly with a gusty north wind (temperatures in the 30s and wind chills a few degrees lower). Rain showers will mix and even change to snow in western Kansas. By early Sunday evening, there will be some snow in central Kansas too, but given the fact the ground is still warm and air temperatures will most likely be just above freezing, most of the flakes will melt. BUT... in mid October, this is strange.
Major pattern shift next week!
We can all agree that dry weather is what we need right now. We finally get into that kind of pattern next week. And the second half of October, overall, looks drier for much of the Plains. Next week, the jet stream will shift to the northeast of Kansas, which will allow for sunshine and calming weather.
And just look what the longer range outlooks are showing. Just trace amounts of precipitation as we move through the last two weeks of October. We should see water levels returning to normal, but given the shorter days, it does take longer to dry out. So hang in there, a return to some nice, fall weather is expected very soon and our third week of October is looking nice.
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