Two features this week - early Halloween look

Our final full week of October is here and what a crazy month this has been with the heavy rains and very cool temperatures. Look at our average October temperatures this deep into the month:

So a good portion of the country is experiencing colder than normal temperatures. Even some of the recent 70° days haven't been enough to get us back to normal. 

Two features to watch this week include a storm approaching from the southwest:

The timing of this feature has been a bit tricky, but it's slowing down. We now expect most of the rain to fall Wednesday night (west) and farther east on Thursday. Rainfall amounts won't be anything to get too worked up about, however, given our situation with very wet ground, there's going to be more runoff (and standing water). We are looking at .25-.50" for most areas.

Another front arrives during the weekend:

We are expecting another cold front to push through here (likely early Sunday) which will knock temperatures back. However, chances for rain will likely miss us to the northeast. 

Are we on the way to a Halloween storm?

It is very early to say with high certainty, but computer models are "hinting" at something in the 10-14 day time frame. I've been noticing for the last week and a half that our longer range data is showing us going back to cold and damp as we move into early November. So will we squeeze Halloween in BEFORE the next round of wild weather in Kansas? Again, it's early but there is at least potential of a storm around Halloween. At the very least, it looks to turn cold heading into early November.