Severe weather chances as the week continues

This will likely end up being our most active week of weather that we've had all spring. I'm NOT saying we are going to have days and days of severe storms, but instead, several days of rain and thunder in the area. It sure hasn't felt like spring the last couple of days with such low afternoon temperatures. Seeing afternoon temperatures in the 40s Monday afternoon was weird to say the least.

Next chance for strong/severe storms: Wednesday early morning:

These will likely develop on the return of warmer air pushing back in from the south. Most of the storms will try to develop over central and southern Kansas, and once they do pop up, should move east or southeast. In these kinds of scenarios, large hail is usually the issue.

Wednesday evening:

This particular period will have a threat of hail, wind, and maybe a tornado. We will have to watch and see how much clearing we have late Wednesday afternoon and where the fronts setup. The severe threat might be a bit higher in Oklahoma, but there will be many areas across the Plains that have a threat.

Thursday evening - chances for southeast Kansas

A front will be sliding into areas southeast of the Turnpike during the evening, which will trigger some storms that could produce large hail and some wind. It will likely develop by 6 or 7 p.m. and then move to the east. A second batch of storms may be forming for eastern Colorado and western Kansas into the night. These could be some wind producing storms that move east.

Friday chances: 

The setup at the end of the week doesn't look that threatening in terms of damaging storms. There will be some more rain coming into Kansas and chances will be possible both morning and again into the overnight hours. The atmosphere will be pretty worked over by the end of this week and because the upper level winds begin to weaken some, severe chances aren't going to be that high by Friday or Saturday. We will need to watch for some localized areas of flooding.