Hope you had a great weekend. Plenty of winter last week with the wind, cold, and snow. As of Sunday afternoon, the satellite picture shown below indicates what areas still have some melting to do. There's not too much left in Kansas (other than some deep drifts in ditches), but areas east will take a bit more time to melt it all away.
The setup this week looks very different and unfortunately, there isn't much out there to help areas that were missed by last weeks moisture. The pattern we are looking at this week is one that we saw OFTEN in December, so the forecast isn't anything earth shattering. It's very boring though - no big temperature swings and no good chances at precipitation. Other than some sprinkles or a brief encounter with flurries, it's quiet.
Upper-level winds will be coming out of the northwest = DRY!!
In this setup, there will be a couple of cold fronts zipping through the area. However, no moisture to work with means no rain or snow. The Arctic air is also shut off for now, so we really look to have a pretty warm week by February standards.
One front in particular to watch packing some MUCH colder air should arrive Friday night.
I don't think the setup is there for widespread snow, but we could end up with a few hours of snow flurries skirting northwest Kansas. This isn't much of a system, so I don't look for the forecast to change much as the week continues.
Could we have a post-Valentine's Day storm?
This looks to be the next chance at something more exciting that just wind and a few clouds. Our winter systems have been so few and far between this season. Right now, we wait to see if something will form out near the 4 Corners area in the middle of next week. Most of the winter systems this year have been coming at us from the northwest, so if the one next week can drop farther south, chances for moisture will ramp up. Until then, enjoy the great weather we have on tap for Kansas.
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