Tuesday, September 29, 2020

October outlook

We are heading into October and the weather pattern is very dry & in my opinion - boring. That's not something we say very often about Kansas weather, but since the big storm at the beginning of September that produced rain (and some snow in the northwest), there just hasn't been much taking place in the Plains. 

 
October starts off cooler - Temperatures are going to be near to slightly below average to kick off the new month. However, it is NOT going to stay that way as you'll see in a second.
 
October 12-19 - Warmth from the west is going to spread into the central Plains AGAIN. It wouldn't be a total surprise if we talk record warmth again for a day or two during this particular week. Some areas might be 10-15 above normal.
 
Late October - Temperatures cool down again (by then, normal highs will be down into the 60s). I don't foresee anything really crazy, but I think the second half of the month will be cooling down quite a bit and we may end up with highs in the 50s and 60s. 
 
October Precipitation: I see the month (as a whole) being drier than normal. Considering we will go all the way through the first half of the month with virtually nothing for moisture, it will be a huge task to try and erase the deficits in the last 8-10 days of the month. However, that is the particular time frame where we will have our best chances at rain.
 
What else to look for in October?
Meteor Shower
We will have a meteor shower peaking on October 20-21... the Orionids. At the peak, you might be able to see about 20 per hour. 

Blue Moon
Happening on Halloween, it is the second full month in a single month. It will also be a Micro Full Moon because in its orbit, the moon will be at its farthest point from Earth. It might look a little less bright, but it will be hard to tell much of a difference compared to a regular full moon. 

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