Figuring out how much snow is something we are working on, but if we get our first one inch, it will NOT be the latest 1st one inch of snow. Those records are as follows:
We are still waiting for the system to develop and get into the US where we can sample it with weather balloons. That will give us a much clearer picture of how much rain, ice, and snow we may be facing. Here's what the timing looks like now - and again, it has been pushed up to start Friday night after dark and continue through Saturday morning.
Earliest start time (7-9pm - west):
Around midnight:
Areas south of a line from Pratt to Hutch over to Emporia should expect some rain, then some icy weather, then a change to snow. Farther west, it will all be snow.
Temperatures around midnight could look like this: Notice where the freezing line may be at the time. Much of the state will be well below 32, so accumulations of snow and some ice should be expected.
8AM Saturday:
Wind chills (early Saturday):
This is the only system on the horizon right now, so once it blows through, that will be it for now. And it looks as if we will warm back up some next week. A return to 50s seems reasonable given the overall setup. However, don't expect a lengthy stretch of warm weather because there should blast of much colder air (possible Arctic air) coming this way. Models seem to agree that either Thursday or Friday, a front may move across the Plains.
Quick January outlook:
Looks like the month as a whole will be colder than December was for Kansas. There will be some warm weather mixed in, but it wouldn't be a surprise if the northern half and the western half of the country ended up with a colder than average month.
As for moisture... there are hopeful signs that January will have more opportunities for rain/snow compared to December, but it won't be a drought ending month. January isn't known for having big precipitation anyway, and the upcoming month is likely no different.
Have a great day.
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