We've been showcasing the lack of rainfall since July 1st, which is essentially when the rain stopped, and the heat kicked in. Here's the update as we reach the end of October:
November averages look like this - typically one of the driest months: 
First system of the month - could be potent:
This will be a strong system cutting across the desert Southwest and reaching the Plains by the first weekend of November. I mentioned just this past week that the cold air is essentially cutting off from this developing storm, so whatever snow comes with it will be in the mountains - not in the Plains.
Big systems that come in from the southwest tend to have a good Gulf of Mexico connection. This one should, but will it skirt across here quickly, or slow down and give us a few days of rain?
After that system passes through the area, we should see warm and dry weather return and stick around into mid-November. There just isn't any sign at all that a cold snap is imminent.
Closer to Thanksgiving - the weather will get active once again. I would anticipate more systems coming at us from the southwest, so our rain chances (and perhaps some snow) will ramp up around the holiday and to finish off the month. Of course, I wouldn't go rearranging any holiday travel plans, but I think it will be more interesting once we pass the halfway point of the month.
Late November looks colder - but probably not record setting:
Why do we think that? It looks like the Arctic Oscillation trends negative during that time, which increases the chances of colder weather (doesn't always guarantee it). In negative episodes though, the upper-level winds tend to allow colder air south, which is something we'll be watching for in 2-3 weeks.
Moisture in late November? There are early hints at it (as you can see below), but we know how the rain has been lately. Very elusive, and I'm not totally convinced that this new month will be any different.
Have a good one. Thanks for spending a few minutes here.
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