First, let's understand what will happen with this weekend storm first. The center of the storm is WAY south, so 97% of the rain will go through Texas and Oklahoma. That's probably not such a bad thing because farmers are finally back to work and trying to get caught up. Kansas ends up on the northern fringe of the weekend system, so some areas will get some rain.
Forecast models are hinting at a couple of flurries in far western Kansas Saturday morning, but the main focus shifts to south central and southeast Kansas. We will start to see some showers developing after 4 or 5 pm. It won't be very heavy, but areas along and southeast of the turnpike will have the highest chances. It COULD get just cold enough for some snow to mix with the rain, but there's not going to be snow accumulation (at least in Kansas) from this storm. Some .25-.50" of rain will be possible southeast of Wichita.
Next week starts milder, but then here comes another big change. Low pressure and cold front will come through Wednesday and bring cooler weather back. Thunderstorms are possible for southern Kansas Tuesday night, but most of the rain will come Wednesday. We expect mostly showers. It's too early to say how much rain, but it's probably not going to be that heavy.
Temperatures from Wednesday into Easter weekend look COOL. In fact, most areas will be setup for highs in the 50s, to around 60, which will actually be nearly 10° below normal. There's going to be this huge dip in the jet stream (called a trough) that will be positioned over the Plains. It should hold strong through about Easter before sliding east.
Longer range models show the temperatures warming a bit later in the month, but it may take awhile to get there.
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