A storm to track as we move ahead

It has been the longest dry spell for most of Kansas all year. I know the dry weather has allowed for fall harvest to run essentially uninterrupted, we are needing moisture. 

We are about a week out from our next chance at some rain, but we need to look at the setup with caution. Here's why:

The tropical activity in the Gulf of Mexico is still going strong and we will likely have another hurricane hitting Louisiana or Alabama late in the week. Moisture wrapping around the system could very well steal our chances on Monday. We rely so heavily on that Gulf supply that if you have a tropical feature just coming off the warm water, we have serious questions about how quickly moisture can get pushed back into the Plains. 

• If the front comes through before the moisture can make it this far north - we will not get rain. 

So I stress to you that even though we are mentioning some rain for early next week, the setup (as it stands now) will have to change if we are to get more than just a couple of showers - or nothing at all.

Latest track on Hurricane Delta - this could be the feature that robs our chances of rain next week.

It is the ninth hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic season (which runs all the way to the end of November). I do expect things to start slowing down here anytime, but in the short term a major hurricane will pass across the Gulf in the coming days. Models are fairly consistent on a Louisiana landfall Friday night.

Record warmth Wednesday? Certainly possible given how high temperatures will go. Here are the numbers to keep track of as temperatures continue to climb.