Friday, December 9, 2022

Drought update as a big system moves this way

The latest drought map out this week didn't change very much and doesn't surprise any of us. Here are the specifics: 

  • 36% in exceptional
  • 57% in extreme
  • 69% in severe
Here's the close up of Kansas:

And now looking at a wider perspective:

The western part of the country is getting some big help from heavy mountain snows. There's been some slight improvements, but we have to keep this going throughout the winter to make a difference. Last year, we saw this happen early on, and then the snow just shut down part way through the season.

Big system rolling in:
There's a good connection to the Gulf of Mexico as we get into Monday. Look at the higher humidity surging northward on wind gusts that will be 30+. In December, getting dew points above 50 can be a challenge, but we accomplish that with ease Monday afternoon/evening. We will have more than enough humidity to translate that into some nice rain. 



And there will be thunderstorms too. You'll even be hearing about severe weather in the South coming up Tuesday. Hail, winds, and a few tornadoes will likely show in Louisiana and Mississippi. 

Rainfall potential: It sure looks like central and eastern Kansas could be in the running for at least .50" or more. Trying to figure out the western fringe is difficult until we get a bit closer, but we aren't going to get nearly as much for areas west of Dodge City and west of Hays. 

Snow: several inches will fall on the High Plains of Nebraska, Wyoming, and the Dakotas. White-out conditions can be expected NORTH of Kansas - not likely around here. I don't think we will get very much snow in the northwest, but a few inches at this time seems reasonable.

Here comes the COLD! We've hinted at this on air and in our winter forecast, but the second half of this month continues to look rather chilly. And it will continue maybe through New Years and beyond. Get ready. 

Have a great day. Thanks for spending a few minutes here.

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