Thursday, December 18, 2014

Snowfall totals around Kansas - through 7 a.m.

Snowfall totals from around the area:
White City (Morris Co.) - 5"
2 NW of Goessel (Marion Co.) - 5"
Concordia - 5"
Ellsworth - 4.5"
Jamestown (Cloud Co.) - 4.5"
Salina - 3.5"
2 W of Emporia - 3"
Bucklin (Ford Co.) - 3"
Wichita - 2.7"
McConnell AFB - 2.5"

Here are some pictures that we've received.
Ashley Holland - Lincoln

From Turi Horton

Barbara Dean
Still looks like a quiet weekend of weather. Temperatures will mostly likely be in the 40s. I expect we will have some sunshine, but it may be limited Saturday and Sunday afternoon. And we are still looking at a big change in the weather either on Christmas Day or the 26th. MUCH colder air will return soon.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Wintry weather arrives - what about a White Christmas?

Through Thursday P.M.
If the timing of this round of winter weather was one week later, we'd likely have a white Christmas. But as it turns out, even with snow in the forecast for Wednesday night and Thursday, much of it will melt by the weekend. The moisture is coming in from the south and will arrive later today. If you've been following the forecast with us, it still looks to start as some rain, and then quickly transition over to a wintry mix and then all snow. Temperatures are trending colder, and that boosts our confidence that this will mainly be a snow event rather than ice.

Roads will likely be wet for the drive home, and then look for the wintry mix to be underway by 9 or 10 p.m. Wednesday night. The moisture should change to all snow during the night and continue through the morning drive Thursday. Accumulations will likely be 1-2 inches for much of Kansas, with little or no snow accumulation south of Highway 54/400. Those areas will be just a little too warm we think. This latest system will be out of here by Thursday afternoon, but the clouds will be sticking around.

White Christmas for Wichita since 2000
So what about the rest of the week leading up to Christmas?

Another storm system will pass through Sunday. It might produce a few sprinkles.

Another system will come in Monday with a cold front. Again, sprinkles or a rain shower look to be the extent of the precipitation for the start of the week.

Active weather goes east on Christmas Eve Day
By the time we get to Christmas Eve, all of the active weather may have shifted to our east. I think our temperatures are going to try and warm up into the 40s and maybe 50s going into Christmas Day, but there is a warning...much colder air and some light snow could show up Friday or Saturday (right after the holiday). Highs in the teens and 20s look likely. Details to come!

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Wintry mix headed for Kansas

Welcome to Tuesday. Just over a week away from Christmas and some of you are wanting to know if we will have snow for Christmas. It's not looking very likely, but we will go over some of the stats on the blog coming up tomorrow and talk about the pattern that is setting up.

In the meantime, we have a weak storm system that is coming through Wednesday night and Thursday. It's very likely we will get some moisture out of it, but it definitely won't be as much as we had over the weekend. However, this next round of precipitation is going to be running into some colder air, so we are likely to see what most of us didn't in the weekend storm... sleet and snow. The forecast models are showing up to an inch for most areas that get snow early Thursday. It will likely just be a dusting of snow over western Kansas.

Here's a summary of how I think the next few days will go:
Wednesday morning: Mostly cloudy - dry
Wednesday after 5 p.m.: Cloudy - some rain/sleet possible (southern KS) - some snow mixed in for central KS
Thursday A.M. - Light snow, especially for central and eastern KS. Accumulations around an inch possible
Thursday P.M. - Dry but still mainly cloudy (temps in the mid 30s)

Wednesday night - Thursday
So although there could be some wet/slushy/icy roads early Thursday, driving conditions will improve in the afternoon. This will not be a major winter storm, but as is the case with any wintry precipitation, you'll probably need to give yourself some extra time for the commute Thursday morning. We will of course have updates on the newscasts later this afternoon and evening. Thanks for sharing a little time with us.

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