Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Ice accumulation concerns

The winter storm about to hit the Plains is going to complicate travel, especially Thursday night and Friday. Be ready. Latest information from our computer models continues to suggest a higher potential for ice accumulations, especially farther south. Some of the questions we have will be how warm do the temperatures get Friday afternoon. If we don't get back above freezing, the weight of ice on power lines combined with some gusty north winds could create power outages. It never hurts to be prepared for that sort of thing, and we will hope the temperature warms up just enough to help us out.

So here are some snapshots from our Future Track model, which will take you all the way into early Saturday. Some of the most difficult driving is expected Thursday afternoon (west) into Saturday morning (farther south and east)

Snowfall accumulations should be on the lighter side. Several 1-3" amounts will be possible throughout portions of central and western Kansas. This would be on top of some sleet that will fall Thursday evening.

Bottom line is that there is a high likelihood of messy weather Thanksgiving Day - early Saturday. If you were planning travel Friday or Saturday, be prepared for slick conditions.

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Thanksgiving storm - still on the way

Good Tuesday morning everyone. This busy week continues and so many questions about travel weather. Feel free to post a question on my Facebook page and I'll do my best to follow up with you regarding the kind of conditions we expect. 

Wichita to KC: wet roads
Wichita to Salina: wet roads
Wichita to OKC: wet roads
Salina to Hays: wet roads to start/some icy spots possible closer to Hays
Great Bend to KC: wet roads

There will be some locally heavy rainfall Thursday for Thanksgiving Day. In fact, it might be the wettest Thanksgiving on record for some locations. The forecast models are indicating over an inch, especially for south central and eastern Kansas.

As the wintry weather sets in for many areas Thursday night, there won't be much snow accumulation. In most cases, it will be less than inch for Kansas. So confidence is high, this will not be a big snow maker for the Plains.

The weather calms a bit for Friday, but into Saturday, we will be watching another round of moisture sneaking up from the south. It will likely lead to a wintry mix of some rain or snow. Although there may be a few hours of some icy conditions early Saturday, it is not looking to be a big ice storm and most roads will improve by mid to late morning Saturday.  

Monday, November 23, 2015

Holiday storm on the way - travel impacts

11 inches of snow near Chicago this weekend. Photo courtesy Marcus Leshock

Good Monday morning everyone and hope you had a nice weekend. This is a busy week with all of the preparation for Thanksgiving. Many of us will travel or have some family or friends traveling into the area. 

If you plan to travel today, Tuesday, or Wednesday, the weather doesn't look too bad. There could be some drizzle Wednesday around central and eastern Kansas, but it's unlikely to be much more than that. The front will move into northwest Kansas Wednesday evening and that will become the focus for developing rain into Thanksgiving Day.

If you are traveling on Thanksgiving Day, it is looking like rain for most of Kansas, but traveling west of a line from Dodge City to Hays, you will likely encounter some light snow. This is not likely to be a heavy snow maker. In fact, forecast models are indicating just an inch or two for the areas that see snow on Thanksgiving (see the map below)

There is a second round of moisture that will be headed into the central and southern Plains next weekend. It could bring a wintry mix of some snow or freezing drizzle. Be sure to check back with us as we continue to focus in on what kind of precipitation type we may get Friday Night - Sunday. It's very unlikely there will be much more than a few hours of freezing drizzle (if that ends up coming our way for the weekend)

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