Friday, May 26, 2017

Severe chances this holiday weekend

I hope everyone has a safe and happy Memorial Day weekend. The next two days (Friday and Saturday) do have chances for storms and some severe weather as well. So let's look a little closer at the timing.

Most of the day will be storm free and should be a nice. But into the evening hours, we do expect severe storms to start in eastern Colorado and then move into western Kansas. How widespread the storms will be is still a bit in question. But as the storms move east into the overnight, the biggest concern will be some strong wind gusts. Storms should weaken with time through the night. But if you are camping, please be prepared for some scattered storms.

I think there will be some leftover rain around at the beginning of the day, and then during the afternoon, the best chances for storms will be off to the east of the Flint Hills. Some showers may clip southwest Kansas Saturday night, but those won't be severe.

Sunday & Monday: DRY!!!!!!! Enjoy!

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Late week storms - early look at June

We are coasting into an extended weekend and it's the unofficial kick-off to summer. Summer isn't my favorite season, but I do love the warm nights and longer days. And I have to say, after the blistering heat of 2011 and 2012 (when we had 30 and 40 100° days), I get nervous when summer draws near. Many of us were very frustrated with the drought and the ongoing heat waves.

Early June Prediction:
An early look at June shows we should be in for cooler than normal weather, especially for the first half of the month. That would mean mostly highs in the 70s and low 80s, not 100 degree temperatures. That's not to say we couldn't have a 100° day, but it doesn't look that likely.

What about the precipitation? There are signs pointing toward active/wet weather for the beginning of the month, but as we get in closer to the middle of June we may be hitting a bit of a dry spell. A high pressure ridge may setup in the middle of the Plains closer to mid June.

Possible Weather Pattern June 17
Memorial Day weekend storm chances:
The next batch of storms will arrive later Thursday night. This will impact a small area of NW Kansas. Another chance for storms is coming Friday night, mainly to western Kansas, but those storms may drift east into the night. So if you plan to camp Friday night, some rain is possible. Severe weather isn't expected to be widespread.

Leftover showers are possible, but late in the day, rain chances will end from west to east.

Sunday/Monday:  Dry!

Monday, May 22, 2017

Different setups this week

Hope everyone had a nice weekend and enjoyed not having damaging thunderstorms in our state. Last week was rough on all of us and especially those who had storm damage.

Scattered showers and a FEW storms will be possible throughout Kansas today (Monday), but the setup is very different than last week. There is a large storm system spinning around the Great Lakes and that is sending much cooler air from Canada down into the Plains. Cooler weather = lower chances for severe storms.

Later in the week:
There will be a shift later this week back to some stormy weather, and it might influence the start of your Memorial Day weekend. I expect Thursday night and again Friday night we will have thunderstorms pushing through the area. Given this kind of setup, strong wind gusts of over 60 mph would appear to be the main threat. We will be taking a closer look at it throughout the week to help you get a better of idea of what to expect heading into the holiday weekend. Seems like every Memorial Day or 4th of July weekend has to have SOME thunderstorms to make it complete.

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