The chance of a White Christmas is very low for Kansas. In most cases, the chances are only 10-20%, and we define a White Christmas by having at least 1" of snow on the ground from a previous storm, or it could fall on Christmas.
Looking ahead, there are two more storms that should be coming through the central US, and each one of them will be very different. The first one should arrive on Monday, December 19th and this storm will approach from the southwest. This type of storm in the winter can produce a wide variety of weather for Kansas. This one should track to the south of our area, which will put Kansas in a favorable spot to see more moisture. Most of it will be rain, but there is a chance we could see some snow in central and northern Kansas. It is too early to predict accumulations, but even if we do get accumulating snow on Monday, it will likely melt during the middle of the week.
A second storm will move through the area on Friday, December 23, but this one will not likely produce measurable rain or snow for Kansas. The heavier precipitation and snow looks to stay north of our area. However, it will set us up for colder weather going into the Christmas holiday.
So in summary, don't expect a White Christmas this year in Kansas. We'll have to wish for one in 2012.
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