Monday, November 3, 2014

More wind and lots of temperature changes coming this week

Welcome to our first week in November. Hope everyone had a safe and fun Halloween. Rainfall deficits continue to grow for some parts of the state. Wichita is more than 6 inches below on moisture for the year, while Salina is about 2.50 inches below. Goodland has a rainfall deficit of more than 2 inches as well. Moisture would be welcome, but the storm system that is moving through the area today is not going to help out very much. It's not a very strong system and most of the rainfall will end up south in Oklahoma or Arkansas.

If you are tired of the wind, the good news is that we will see a break from it coming up Tuesday. But the rest of the week will likely see more gusty conditions around the area. Some of the strongest wind will likely come Thursday morning and again Friday afternoon.

There will be a bunch of temperature changes this week, but almost none of them will have a chance of producing any moisture. The showers we see today in Kansas (Monday) will not amount to very much (probably not enough to settle the dust in the air) Let's look at the weather pattern and see what's coming up.

First, the system impacting Kansas today is disorganized and the moisture supply is very limited. There is some cooler weather behind it, so we can expect the temperatures to drop about 10 degrees heading into Tuesday.

The middle of the week will see the pattern shift again as the winds are coming from the northwest. This will drive more chilly air down into Kansas by Thursday, but still no hope for moisture.

Early next week, the forecast models are indicating another storm system sliding down the northern Rockies and across the Plains by November 10/11. There will be some much colder air coming with the system, but right now, it's looking less and less likely to produce moisture. If the system were to produce precipitation, there is a chance that could be the first snow for Kansas. The air looks cold enough, but storm systems that come in from the northwest don't normally produce a lot of moisture. It will be one to watch, but right now, it's just a slim chance that it will be anything significant for Kansas. I'll keep you updated through the week. Have a good one.





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