What to expect for late October - rain chance showing up again

Hope your week is off to a great start. It's been pretty wild around here with that blast of winter weather that hit late last week and now, we are seeing more late summer/early fall temperatures. September (as you might recall) was very warm and finished in the top 10 warmest for different areas of Kansas.

October so far has looked like this...

Much of the central and northern Plains have experienced colder than normal weather. Even though the month started well above average, the cooler days have taken control.

And rainfall for the first half of October has been spotty at best. 

Western Kansas has NOT been in the right spot for generous rains, but then again that's been pretty common for the last couple of months. Is this a sign of what's to come heading into winter? We are still analyzing and trying to figure it all out.

Closely watching a rain chance Friday evening (Oct. 18):

New model data (from Tuesday morning) are showing showers for some parts of central and eastern Kansas. It will be our 2nd cold front of the week, but it's moving so fast that there won't be enough time for much rain to develop. Models are suggesting the amounts will be .25" or less.

What's next?
I'm expecting our temperatures for the rest of this week to mainly be above average. That's how the week started out and it will wrap up with warmer than normal weather for Thursday and Friday. Our next front is coming Friday evening, but it's a Pacific front, so temperatures aren't going to drop that much for the weekend.

3rd full week of October:
Temperatures should be a little cooler than normal, but nothing that looks all that alarming. So I would expect mostly 60s for highs next week.

Rainfall chances aren't looking too good for the Plains. There should be some showers passing to the north of Kansas early in the week, but overall, much of our area looks dry for the final full week of the month.