Monday, November 18, 2019

Two potential storms before Thanksgiving

Welcome to Monday and finally, a week where we have something other than clouds, wind, and changing temperatures to catch our attention. Our winter forecast is coming out Thursday night and I'll be sure to post it here for you to read some of the details on how we reached our conclusions.

We are about to go through at least 2, if not 3 weeks of active weather. The first storm to watch impacts our weather from Wednesday - Friday. It looks to arrive in pieces, which means this will NOT be a one-and-done type of setup. Some of the precipitation(mainly rain) will fall Wednesday night, and whatever comes after it will likely have some wintry precipitation mixed with it.

Here's where the storm will be Tuesday:
Majority of the rain and snow will be showing up west of the Rockies (big snows likely in the ski resorts and difficult travel possible in the mountains). This is incredible when you look at the stretch of moisture from Mexico to the Dakotas. Again, this is Tuesday when the storm is still in its developing stage.

Wednesday late afternoon-night:

There isn't much snow to be had with this approaching system, but rain should develop from southwest into central Kansas. I have to think the heaviest amounts will be east of a Hays to Pratt line, but even in those areas, I can't see it being much more than .20-.40" (if you were to get .50" you'd be really lucky)

Thursday looks like mainly clouds - not much, if any precipitation:
Rainfall amounts - not very heavy. Most of the state will likely end up with amounts under .50"

Friday - the last part of the system pushes through - which could be a few hours of some very light rain or snow flurries mixing across central and eastern Kansas. Impacts to travel OR snow shoveling is NOT likely at this time.

A storm for Thanksgiving week:

It's not completely out of the question. We are expected to be in an active pattern for a few weeks and a system may charge through here BEFORE we get to the Thanksgiving holiday. If the models are correct, this is a Tuesday/Tuesday night storm (getting east of Kansas before the big travel day on Wednesday). But I'll keep you update on what we are seeing as time gets closer.

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