Monday, March 16, 2020

How much more rain and how likely for severe storms

Hope everyone had a great weekend. As we are all in a bit of a lock down right now, wanted to update you on how much more rain is coming this way and what our chances for severe storms look like this week.

Next round - Tuesday night/early Wed:
There will be thunderstorms with this batch of rain, but unlikely that we will have damaging hail and high winds. As we've seen recently, most of the rainfall will end up in central and eastern Kansas as the moisture moves from southwest to northeast. I'm expecting it could start just after dark Tuesday in the southwest and then start pushing on to the northeast.

Wednesday night/early Thursday:
This rain SHOULDN'T be as heavy as what we will get Tuesday night. However, it is more rain in places that need time to dry out.

Rainfall amounts could end up looking like this by Thursday afternoon:
Western Kansas could get up to a third of an inch (.3"), but amounts east of a Pratt to Russell line will be closer to an inch. We are already having one of the top 5 wettest starts to the year in south central Kansas and this will only push that higher.

Much colder air will return late in the week - 
It's looking as if a pretty chilly blast of air will set in by Friday and continue through Saturday. Highs are going to be 10-15° below normal, BUT - the sunshine will be around to cap off the week. And wouldn't you know, it will be our first weekend in spring (but still feeling like winter)

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