Thanks for spending a few minutes here reading my thoughts on what happens down the stretch. We are moving into the home stretch of a dry August for much of Kansas and I've already heard from some farmers that had really good rains in July - now needing another round.
Take a look at the following maps:
This is rain (compared to normal for the last 30 days):
The map below is rain (compared to normal for the last 60 days):
We are nearly 80 days into meteorological summer (June 1st - today) and here are some numbers for the major reporting stations around Kansas. It is a bit strange to see western Kansas posting higher numbers than what is reported in the east (sometimes it goes that way), but the drought is not over with for western Kansas yet.
What's next? Temperatures above normal - The pressure cooking high pressure in the west is about to move (finally) and start breaking down. We will see it wobble east a bit this weekend, which means Kansas will get hotter soon. As it does so, you will see the record heat in the west ease, while the Plains warms. This is NOT a setup that will lead to widespread 100s (I'm confident those days are behind us), but there will be plenty of 90s day-in-and day-out.
Rain chances should increase - We should be moving into a period at the end of the month and early September that could bring some rains back to the Plains. If the upper high breaks down like I'm expecting in about a week, we should see an increasing threat of storms throughout the area. Will it be days of rain chances or just a night or two? It's not very clear now, but at least we have something down the stretch that has our attention.
Have a good day.
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