Wednesday, September 9, 2020

Wednesday records & rainfall update

What we are experiencing in Kansas is just incredible when you think about the fact summer hasn't officially ended yet. Temperatures this afternoon will be 30-40° below the average high temperature for early September. 

And look what happened this morning in Goodland:

Our focus will continue to be on the rain chances that extend through Friday. We still feel like the western half of Kansas could easily get an inch of much needed moisture (most of it coming today through early Thursday afternoon) Farther east, it may end up being in the 1-2" range (most of it coming Wed. night and Thursday). This is a SLOW moving storm that is hanging back toward the 4 Corners area.
  • Low pressure winds blow counter-clockwise
  • This is what is driving the rain from south to north, even though our winds down here at the ground continue to be from the north
  • This low will start to push out by Friday

This is a near perfect setup for us right now (unless you are in the beginning stages of fall harvest, of course). If you look to the south in Texas, you can see there is a surplus of moisture yet that has to move north, which should be the biggest and most productive round of rain yet to move through.
 
This will hopefully help firefighters get an upper hand on the fires in Colorado. The Cameron Peak and Williams Fork fires have received moisture, but probably not enough to wipe out the concerns altogether. Once it dries off and warms up (by the weekend), fire concerns will once again be present. 

What concerns me for Kansas is that after this latest storm, we may not have much rain to forecast until late in the month (and for some it may not come until October). Just take a look at what the computer models are showing for moisture next week. Dry weather returns to the Plains as we wait for more cold fronts to move into the area. Stay tuned.

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