I went digging for the snowiest New Years Day on record for some different places around Kansas. Wichita had a record setting 6.5" just last year and I think that record will stand. However, keep an eye on Dodge City and Goodland because those records could be in jeopardy based on current forecasts.
The start time of the winter storm has been pushed back a bit - so most of New Years Eve will be just fine, but turning much colder. It appears we will start getting a bit icy after midnight in many areas - road conditions will start deteriorating.
Ice accumulations: We still think some sleet will accumulate in central and southern Kansas before the snow begins to take over. It's unlikely the ice accumulation will be enough to cause widespread power failures or lead to tree damage, but this will definitely be a concern for anybody looking to travel Saturday.
Snow accumulation: Heaviest will stretch from west central Kansas across central Kansas and into northeast parts of the state. These predictions are always tricking, because small snow bands can produce some higher totals that our models have trouble seeing.
Next week: Another blast of VERY cold air will be coming south into the central and northern Plains. We should develop some snow in Nebraska on Wednesday and that band of light snow may push into Kansas Wednesday night/Thursday. It doesn't appear that we will have a big snow event, but what will be the headline is how much of the country will be going into the deep freeze for awhile. At this time, it doesn't look like a repeat of February 2021, but we could have two or three consecutive days with sub-freezing temperatures. Hello winter.
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