Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Are we really getting snow and more active weather arriving soon!

This next system coming across the central and southern Plains will produce rain, thunder, and everybody's favorite in mid-March, snow. This will be a case of just barely cold enough to get snow, but we are going to have some in Kansas Thursday and early Friday. I'm expecting these will be big flakes and might cover the grass for awhile - but it won't be around for very long. Snow that falls during the day will likely melt shortly after it comes down, but the snow that falls during the night might accumulate a bit more. I would expect 1-3" at this time, but we will need to watch this system. At least we are getting the moisture.

Best chances for snow will happen in these areas:

Thursday afternoon:

Thursday evening:

Thursday night:


Here's how much rain/overall moisture:

Next big system coming early next week: Severe Chance is Low

We are closely watching for another big system to come out of the west at the beginning of next week, which should put our area in a chance for some heavier rain again. I did mention thunderstorms in my update the other day, but I'm starting to think our severe chances will be fairly low, given that temperatures will be somewhat cool AND the richer Gulf moisture (dew points above 60°) will be well to our south. 

High dew points are usually necessary in order to get threats of severe storms, BUT - this doesn't mean we won't get some nice rain. Just take a look:

While it's not a guarantee at this time, it does come from one of the more reliable computer models as of late. Tough to curb your excitement about this, but if the track of the storm doesn't shift too much, we should be in the running for some drought easing precipitation. 

Have a great day.

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