Weekend storm chance - looking ahead to late October

We are still on track to get some rain and storms for the first part of the weekend. And while there is a severe weather risk for some areas, it should be somewhat limited. 

Rain chance Saturday morning:

Showers will be scattered to start the day, with best chances from southwest to central Kansas, all the way into northeast Kansas. If you are tailgating at a football game, might want to have some rain gear handy.

Storms Saturday afternoon:

Chances for thunderstorms will be increasing during the afternoon. While a few could be strong-severe (winds over 58 mph), many will be below a severe threshold. Watch for some quick heavy downpours and lightning, but the chance for widespread severe storms is low. The timing - most storms will develop after 3 p.m., and move to the east once they get going.

Looking ahead to the second half of October: WARM!

Back at the beginning of the month, all signs were pointing toward a warmer than normal month. So far, that is holding up well. And we have several more mild-warm days coming up. That doesn't mean hot or record breaking heat, but it does mean more 70 to near 80 degree weather should be on the way. I am expecting another brief cool down next weekend (October 21-23), but it doesn't look like anything major. There should be at least two more chances for rain between now and the end of the month (not counting this weekend) - but it's unlikely we will get as much rain in the second half of the month as we did at the beginning of October.