Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Snow checkup & a look at what's next

We often talk about repeating setups or patterns, and if you look at where the snow track has been this winter, it's not hard to see... it's north. I've lost count of how many systems have produced snow in northern Kansas, while the rest of us just wait for anything. Right now, 10% of the winter wheat crop is in very poor condition, with 34% considered poor. Drought conditions continue to expand and we will see the new map Thursday.

Here's a checkup on the seasonal snowfall around the state. Even though northern Kansas has been getting snow, most areas are still below normal. 

Early look at the weekend:
I see so many different forecasts out there. I see forecasts calling for freezing drizzle, ice, sleet, etc. Please don't panic. What we get this weekend will be cold, clouds, and a few very light snow showers Saturday. This weekend weather (albeit cold), shouldn't be that rough around Kansas. Here's what the setup looks like:

1) Colder air starts surging in Friday. Temperatures will be falling through the day.


2) Next feature to watch is a little system coming over the Rockies and into Kansas Saturday.

It looks like some light snow will move across the area (some accumulation possible), but the best chances for icy weather will likely setup east of our area. So if you plan to go east of the Flint Hills OR into northeast Oklahoma on Saturday, you could very well run into some slick roads. 

3) Sun will be coming back on Sunday, but it's still going to be cold.

Looking deeper into February, we still don't see any major changes taking place in the overall setup. This stubborn north/northwest wind pattern will continue. That's been the trouble all winter. And any system that comes in on those northwest winds doesn't produce much in the way of widespread moisture. We are in a rough spot right now, but I keep looking down the road trying to find something. For now... we just keep waiting and preparing to brave the cold. I do think temperatures are going to warm later this month, but we still have plenty more cold coming in March.


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