Tuesday, May 21, 2019

How much longer on this stormy setup?

Thanks for sharing a few minutes reading the blog. I know that most of your reading this are ready for sunshine and dry weather to be back. You hate to say bad things about all of the rain because there are times where we are desperate, but all of it at one time is damaging.

24 hour rainfall reports through 7 a.m. Tuesday:

Today - Tuesday:
Storms will be scattered over the state into the afternoon and early evening. It's not a great chance for severe weather, but given the fact we are right UNDER a low pressure system, the atmosphere is churning pretty good. That could lead to a few hail storms and a brief tornado spinning up around parts of the state. If you get a chance to look at the radar during the afternoon, watch for the counter-clockwise spin going on across central and western Kansas. This will move out of here later tonight.


Thursday storms:
Humidity will be racing back over the area into Thursday, which will set us up for more active weather and some rain. Storm chances should begin in the morning and continue into the afternoon. A few of the storms could be severe, so we aren't out of the threat areas yet. And once again, we are on the lookout for more rain in very soggy areas. Highest severe chances will likely focus over central and parts of western Kansas.

Why so much rain?
Bottom line is we are dealing with slow moving fronts in the area (sometimes not moving at all) AND... you have this HUGE low pressure spinning back in the desert southwest. So every time a piece of that low breaks off and moves to the Plains, we get storms. We have so much available humidity and water nearby that it's not hard to squeeze out more rain for the area. And as long as this low hangs back in the southwest, you will continue to see several rain chances ahead.

I do see a period coming in early June where we should begin to shake some of the rain. Now June itself will likely still have some decent rains, but it's probably NOT going to be as wet as this month of May has been. It's just too much right now.

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