Thursday, June 20, 2019

Weekend storms & first for us this year

Summer begins Friday at 10:54 AM and like a switch, the heat will be increasing and we see our first signs of a summertime weather pattern. More about that in a second.

Weekend storm setup - chances of heavy rain!
There will be another front arriving in the area that will likely stall right over the Plains. It's strongest impact will likely be felt Saturday evening/night when several storms develop along the front and produce heavy rains, wind, and some hail. The front should stretch from Texas to Iowa, and there will likely be storms throughout the area. 

It looks like storms will begin in southwest, central, and northern Kansas Saturday evening around 6/7. The line of storms will then SLOWLY move east and the heavy rain chances will continue into the night. There will be some areas of flooding once again, so use caution as this will happening into the night.

Sunday - Areas southeast of the Turnpike should be in line for the heavy rains at the end of the weekend. There will still be some chances for hail and wind in southeast Kansas, but flooding should still be at the top of our concerns as that will be a widespread issue.

Rainfall amounts - we could very easily get an inch or two from the storms Saturday night. Heaviest amounts, which still look to target northeast Oklahoma, would likely be a combination of Saturday AND Sunday rainfall. These areas are still cleaning up and drying out after the May floods.

Next week - first signs of a summer setup!

We start to see a high pressure system taking shape down in Mexico (that's where the center of it will be). Even though it's hundreds of miles from Kansas, the impacts should still be noticed around here. We are not headed for a major heat wave out of this, but the steering winds aloft (the jet stream) will weaken and storm chances will become very spotty. I'm not saying we won't have any storm chance at all, but more people will have sunshine and 90s than be hit by storms.

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