Thursday, December 12, 2019

Weekend system AND discussion of white Christmas

Snow chances are still on track for part of the weekend. The last thing I want anyone to do is cancel their weekend trip, anticipating a big snow storm. This storm is NOT likely to be a big snow event, given that we expect it to approach us straight from the west. If it were to dive a bit farther south, it could produce more snow, but that doesn't seem to be (for right now) a possibility.

I'm still leaning toward most of the state getting at least SOME snow, but again, amounts are very tricky this many days ahead of the event. Take a look at where the storm is now (as of Thursday morning) and it is still WAY out in the Pacific.
That's why our confidence is still quite low leading up to this event.

TIMING:
Although there could be some brief light snow on Saturday, MOST of the snow will come Sunday afternoon and into the night. That's when we should begin to see snow pile up and it very well could have some schools closing or delaying Monday morning. So heads up.


Snow will start in western Kansas Sunday morning and gradually start moving east. This should mainly be snow (no freezing rain or sleet), but we still expect some of the roads to get slick into Sunday night. The drive to work Monday might be an issue too in spots.

We will start putting out some numbers before we get to the weekend, so stay tuned. I do feel confident in saying that almost all of Kansas will get snow, and it will stick in many areas. But if this storm track shifts by any amount, it's going to change the totals. So please be mindful when looking at forecast amounts this far out. There is a chance for some blowing snow early Monday, but this is not going to be a blizzard for Kansas.

White Christmas:
At 6 p.m. Wednesday, we put out our first prediction on whether or not there will be snow for Christmas. I see two more storms before Santa's arrival. The first one comes late this weekend, followed by another system that may not get here until right at Christmas. The snow we get Sunday/Monday will likely melt next week, but let's wait and see what storm #2 might do as we get in closer to the holiday. A white Christmas is NOT off the table yet, but remember they are rare and everything has to come together just right for that blanket of white that some of you are dreaming of.

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